Burning Shadows booster box is $400 while PSA 10 Rainbow Charizard is $2,500?

[pfm]

Out of 432 you’d expect 0.5 rainbow Charizords. Sorry guys but this isn’t really a novel topic.

Pull Rates in Modern Sets

I know a lot of people here don’t have much interest in modern sets, but I’d thought I’d do a bit of sharing. So I’ve been trying to find the pull rates for modern sets and the information has been surprisingly hard to come by considering the internet’s a thing. I’m sure many large purchasers/stores already have some semblance of an idea of what the rates are like, but I don’t think it’s really been widely shared because after all why would they be. It’s strange to me because I also dab…

Hyper Rare Charizard Pull Rate

Hey guys! Just wondering if there was any speculation to the pull rate of the Burning Shadows hyper rare Charizard. Thinking about getting a box or two or three lol

You’d need to open about 20 boxes to see one. The card is notoriously known for being difficult to grade. The pop report supports that.

If we assume a 100% PSA 10 rate the expected cost is $8.4k to pull it. A 1-in-6 PSA 10 chance puts you at roughly $50k.

The question in the OP was why this set was an outlier. That’s why.

If you still think I’m wrong then please by all means demonstrate that by beating these numbers in practice.