Does anyone know the rough distribution number of the Fan Club Shining Magikarp? I understand it would be difficult due to the circumstances of its distribution but though it was worth asking anyway.
I’d be curious to know this too. Along with Porygon and Eevee.
Well one thing is for sure…
For every Porygon out there, there has to be a Karp with it lol Being that you wouldn’t have enough points to get one without the other.
But I think it’s sort of like any other promo out there comparable, like the Play promos. Only thing we know is points weren’t easy to get which makes the amount given out pretty low.
I got a real nice one muhahaha ITs seald and centerb’d. I would love to know the number aswell.
As surely it is greater then the tamshi karpidge.
It would be nearly impossible to narrow down how many copies were distributed. I imagine you did not have to obtain the lower prize like, Eevee, in order to receive a higher prize like Shining Magikarp. However, I’m not 100% on this. @smpratte made a video awhile back explaining the Fan Club prize system back then.
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There’s no way to know. If I was going to guess I would guess lower than Masaki numbers, due to the lower frequency in appearances, but higher then trophy prize cards. So somewhere between 5,000-70,000 would be my SPECULATED range.
That’s quite a lot when you think about it ://
Is the reason it still sells for so much despite the speculated distribution number due to demand? The Rina Art Academy card that Noodles sold recently was only for around 800 but there’s only 100 that exist and probably maybe 10 in total have ever gotten out there as they don’t wish to sell theirs
In the collectable card world it isn’t.
Why isn’t it? My point is just that isn’t the only reason it’s more expensive than an art academy card due to demand? Otherwise shouldn’t the art cards be reaching upwards of a few thousand dollars if going by distribution numbers?
There’s a lot of factors that go into why something is worth what it’s worth, and distribution numbers is just one of them
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Under the assumption my estimation is correct. You have to assume a percentage is lost forever (thrown away/forgotten about/never going to see the light of day) let’s use 10-20% (this is probably very low, but I’ll keep my numbers conservative to make my point). Take away the percentage of cards that aren’t going to be on the market (lost to collections), let’s say another 10-30%. The number of cards damaged 20-40%, these were distributed to childeren. We just went from 5,000-70,000 all the way to 500-49,000 of available cards.
Now let’s take that number and remember we only distributed to card to Japan. So now we have a limited amount that’s going to make it to the market outside of Japan, at least 30-70%. 150-34,300 available, now think of how many people would collect the card and you’ll quickly realize there’s not enough to go around even with my conservative numbers.
As far as your quesion of why some cards aren’t worth as much as others, you only have half the equation. Supply and DEMAND determines price. AKA some cards are just more popular than others.
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I know there’s more factors but it just feels like there is an equal desire between the art cards and the fan club promos. I suppose the fan club promos are probably more well known anyway though
That’s probably one of the best explanations that could have been given. It makes sense when you put it like that and I suppose it’s always a matter of supply and demand in the end also. I mean, I don’t mind the magikarp being worth as much as it is, it’s nice to have a card that’s expensive after all. I just wish I had the money for trophy cards and that in the next hundred years someone would be willing to sell one :')
I know this isn’t related to this topic but after Shining and gold stars what’s the next collection that I should think of aiming for? (Inside of Japanese produced cards)
Well following that trend, crystals would be next.
Besides a few special cases, most card distribution numbers will not be easy to quantify. Contest cards, tournament cards, and trophies are much easier to get exact (or really close) distribution numbers. Numbers are usually published when it comes to contests and tournament promos are often given to X number of people who place in the top X number.
Another thing to consider is that many people use the PSA population report to determine their chances of getting a mint copy. The lower the population of mint(9 or 10) copies, the higher the price of raw “mint” cards. This card is known to be troublesome to grade. This coupled with its rarity and overall appeal make for an expensive card regardless of actual distribution number.
I’ve seen far fewer Magikarp than the other Fan Club promos so that leads me to believe that the distribution of that card was also much lower.