Hey guys!
Just wondering if there was any speculation to the pull rate of the Burning Shadows hyper rare Charizard. Thinking about getting a box or two or three lol
Given there are 21 secret rares and the pullrate is about 1 per box, a Hyper Rare Charizard would be in every 21st box.
Which makes the pack pull rate one in 756… Christ.
I can’t recall where I saw the data but the pull rate was actually closer to 1:1000 packs for the rainbow rare 'zard… 
Keep in mind you can have boxes with no hyper rare. I must be very unlucky but out of my three boxes two of them had NO hyper rare
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The reason why I think this would be a difficult question to answer is because it isn’t a rounded number. I feel that it’s not every box or every other box. I think it’s probably 1 in 1.7358… boxes. Something like that. My reasoning comes from that rainbow rare charizard miscut that was posted in the miscut cards thread. If you notice, it has part of a full art trainer on it as well (might’ve been acerolla but didn’t care to check) So it’s not like they are inserted into every box or every other box. They are printed on sheets with other regular full arts, so the odds are truly mixed up. The shinings or gold stars of the old days were likely made on their own sheet and then inserted into packs which then got inserted into boxes. That’s the reason why they can give an accurate estimate of the odds of how many packs/boxes it will take to pull one. They aren’t giving us a rate for rainbow rares because it’s not a cut and dry number for them to simply state.
Now assuming what I said is true, Since they are on the same sheets as full arts, they are all cut at the same time and put into packs with the full arts and then randomized and what not, then put into the boxes, making the odds much harder to determine. I feel like the odds of pulling specifically charizard is small part of a much larger question. The chances of pulling it should be no different than any other rainbow rare. But if you’re looking/hoping to pull that specific card, then of course it’s going to be an insane number to hit.
I’ll say this. The chances of pulling a rainbow rare aren’t the highest or lowest odds we’ve ever seen. But due to the sheer number of them that you can get per set, it’s extremely hard to pull the exact one you’re looking for (whether that be a charizard or a gumshoos, etc.) The only way I think we could get an accurate estimate is to know what the uncut sheets look like so we can see how many of a rainbow rare is on a sheet. That would at least give us a starting point.
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Thanks! A lot of very useful information. Might change my mind on buying a box after going over the data.
TBH I think it is better to buy a hyper rare zard over a box if that’s what you are going for. That’s just me though!
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