Does anyone know the odds for pulling a rainbow Charizard gx from a burning shadows booster box? I have my second box to open coming in soon. I’m sure it would be more efficient to buy the graded single but I do enjoy the rush of opening packs once in a while. I’m determined to pull this zard! Thanks!
I’ve read that you have a 2.4% chance of pulling a HR/SR from a lone booster. There are 22 secret/hyper rares in the Burning Shadows, so divide that 2.4% by 22 and you get 0.1% percent. Multiply that 0.1% by the # of packs (36 per box) and you get roughly 3.6%.
I really hope you pull it! I got extremely lucky and pulled one from a random loose pack. The only caveat was the condition. Despite being a pack fresh card, the back shows quite a bit of chipping and whitening - a common problem with this card. The first print run was said to have been a bit shoddy.
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It’s one in 20 boxes, or 1:720 packs. Just buy one dont bother with boxes.
I just opened a BS box and only got $20 with of hits(6).
I looked at sold listings on eBay and they can go for as low as $100 if you’re patient.
Ive already opened 1 box with no luck. Have 2nd box on the way. If I don’t pull one in 3rd box I will buy one already graded. I love the rush of opening packs so it’s worth the risk to me.
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Derium’s Pokemon usually does 1000 pack openings for the new sets. I watch the last 5 minutes of these videos to see what the pulls are. 1000 packs is still not enough to give you an accurate pull rate, but you get some idea.
It looks like they pulled one hyper rare Charizard in 1000 packs (skip to the end).
The cheapest route is definitely buying one already graded, but it’s also not as fun as pulling one yourself. They’re also not guaranteed to grade 10, I pulled one pack fresh and it had a small ding in one corner and graded a 9. Good luck!
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Damn, those are some pretty slim odds. Glad I did not start doing any box openings for that card.
100$ does seem a bit undervalued considering you need to break open so much product to obtain that card.
I opened around 4 BS boxes - I did not pull the HR Charizard. I think I ended up with 3 HR Marshadow and 1 HR Machamp (from a random booster).
I opened quite a few elite trainer boxes (enough for 1-2 BS boxes), didn’t get a single HR.
Luckily I stopped and saw this thread!
Market will adjust for sure. For example:
I had no idea the pop was so large already. Clearly it is harder than the evolution Mega, but this is still ridiculously overpriced in my opinion for the amount in the pool. Only will take one player to dump their shares for a cheaper price to start the mudslide of other zards jumping off the bandwagon.
There are sure prices way above the $750 mark and yet a few below $500 just sitting there. The market has to pop at some point. Can’t just keep adding supply and not changing price. I would advise 100% to wait out the storm. Unfortunately I see this just following the same Evolution pathway but with a few differences, this is still a much harder card to pull.
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@smellyblueberry I think I will take your advice on waiting out the storm.
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700 graded charizard x 720 packs/pull = 500,000+ packs!
Crazy when you put it in perspective. I think the overprinting of these sets ultimately kills it, despite how difficult it is to pull this.
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That’s actually a good way on putting a lower bound on the number of boxes printed.
500,000 packs.
I would say only 10% of people get cards graded?
5 million packs ;o
I don’t see this card sustaining its value theres to much of this product being opened but it will definitly be one of the more valuable zards from recent sets. I’ve only opened one box and I got one so I guess I got lucky