I am seeing an unusual buying activity on the Skyridge Charizard in PSA 10. 8 sales have been done throught Ebay in the last 2 weeks which is an unusual high number. Now only a few remain listed (only one seperate listing) and the other 2 are in sets/combined with other cards.
Looks like someone is buying these up as this does not look like natural sales volume, opinions about this?
I think the criticism is aimed more at its activity. It had one of the largest drops in price, from $4,500 to $1,800. Also it isn’t as rare as people believe. Essentially a holo pull rate.
isn’t this more due the fact that Skyridge had 32 holos in the set and you only get 9 per box?
Because assuming that you get 3 Crystal Holos or Crystal Reverse Holos per box, you will get a Crystal Charizard Holo every 168 packs, this is Goldstar territory, or even rarer
That is the exact fallacy! I have yet to watch a box opening that didn’t get a crystal pull. The estimated pulls for Crystals are 1:36 packs for Aquapolis, and 1:18 for Skyridge. Where the GS pull rate is 1:72 packs.
Lets say you have 2 Crystal Pokemon cards in a Skyridge Box, these “slots” are shared by 14 Crystal Holo or Reverse Holo cards, so your chance to get that specific Crystal Holo Charizard is 2/14 per Box.
In Aquapolis you get 1 crystal in 36 packs (it’s actually 1:27 as the european Aquapolis packs have the pullrate written on the pack). That one slot is shared by only 3 Crystal Pokemon cards, so your chance of getting the crystal Lugia in a box is 1/3.
Same goes for the GS pullrates. Yes, you might get 1 in every 72 packs, but there are only 2 or 3 Goldstar cards in your set, giving you the chance of one specific goldstar card in every 144 or 216 packs.
The Crystal Charizard does not have the same pull rate as a regular holo. I have seen box openings where people have pulled anything from 1-3 crystals per box. (3 Being extremely lucky of course). The card IS rare, but as Scott mentions, not as rare as people believe.
I can definitely see this card bouncing back in the long term due to; skyridge being the last set, the last secret wotc Charizard, low supply against an increasing demand etc but as of right now the supply is quite high. It is very easy to find a crystal Charizard if you want one. Give it a few more years and we will see what happens. Purchased mine for $2.2k and don’t regret it one bit as it is highly unlikely I’ll ever sell and if I do it will surely be in years to come.