With DBS you need to understand the game’s design philosophy.
99.99% of DBS cards are worthless even on release. I take issue with some of DBS’s set design.
What happens every time they release a new DBS set is that 99% of the cards of all rarities sit under $2. What does have value in the sets are Special Rare variants of $1-10 cards. Maybe 1-2 of the SRs will retain value value after a set’s release but from a business’s point of view to open these sets for singles is loss leading.
There is no significant value in these sets which makes deckbuilding for players super cheap. This is because US stores go crazy opening product of a game which has a tiny playerbase but also because the game isn’t balanced well and most cards you need to play the game are too easy to pull.
Dragon Ball might be a huge IP but to get people to give up their time to sit and play in tournaments every week is asking a lot. It has a decent following but events aren’t huge. Time will tell if it can grow.
DBS secret rares have a pull rate of 1 per case. Nobody wants to open $800 worth of product to get one so the super playable ones start out extraordinarily high, then depending on how the meta forms they drop in value. Sometimes dramatically, sometimes gradually.
When you have a deck worth $50 and you need a relatively inaccessible card to complete it, what do you do? You buy the big secret rare. That’s how these cards have extremely high price tags compared to the rest of DBS cards which typically have a ceiling of $20 barring reprints like event promos or different variants. Competitive decks typically run around $100-$200.
These cards are valuable because they are PLAYABLE, not collectable. They gave Awakened Goku an effect that lets you win the game in one attack, it’s the only card with this effect. The Tournament of Power special rares are playable to different degrees but they are also unique so there is definitely a level of collectability to them. All these supplementary “TB” sets try and do something different than the core sets. They look great, it’s inventive, doesn’t stop most cards in the set not holding value.
If tomorrow Bandai decided to reprint Goku The Awakened Power the price would tank. It’s not a 20 year old collectable, it’s a new card that came out last year, Bandai wants their game to be nice and accessible and Tournament of Power is out of print. It would also make boxes of such a reprint set fly off the shelves.
Is Bandai mass reprinting cards atm? They’re not going crazy with it but they’re going above and beyond to foster a strong playerbase and make the game accessible somewhere down the line that could mean major reprints or making another card that fills the shoes of Victory Strike Son Goku.
The other thing is DBS tcg could just die. Stores have been burned with previous sets needing to liquidate product at huge discounts, local tournaments are small, it’s a terrible product to open and the insane power creep doesn’t help either.
Bandai is at the very least supporting this game quite well but that’s not cheap. While this is wild speculation; Their finance people could only have a road plan for another 2-3 years if the game hasn’t met expectations for all we know. Another thing to consider is that DBStcg only exists in Western markets, not Japan, which is definitely a strange thing for a tcg based on a Japanese property.
If you want to dabble in DBS just flip, there is nothing to suggest a long game. From my experience in MtG and Yugioh sought after cards sometimes just cool off and drop in value regardless of reprints or playability. Demand is met, then supply grows and cards just drop. The Tournament of Power Special Rares, Awakened Goku and sealed boxes have already spiked to crazy high levels for DBS over the span of a year, doesn’t mean they will keep going up. The safest speculation is probably the sealed box imo.
If we get to year 5 of Dragon Ball Super tcg and a collectorbase develops then it might be worth going after Awakened Goku if it’s deemed to be the penultimate Goku card. But if the game lives that long it might have been worth buying a box of the 1st set instead of what’s hot now.